Wars & Markets - Money Weekly Newsletter from alooola®
- Mar 9
- 2 min read
Wars & Markets
March 9, 2026
Oil prices have risen amid the conflict in Iran. While that adds inflation pressure, the U.S. has been a net energy exporter since 2001. Europe, by contrast, imports more than half of its energy, and Japan imports nearly all of its fuel needs. 1
Despite wars and geopolitical shocks, markets have historically recovered. The Dow rose 43% during WWI and 50% during WWII, while the S&P 500 posted double-digit gains in the 12 months following the Korean War, Cuban Missile Crisis, Gulf War, and Iraq invasion. *2
New U.S. business formations have surged since COVID, rising from an average of 230k per month (2004–2019) to 435k per month since 2020, with 532k new businesses registered in January, the third-highest level ever. 3
China’s manufacturing sector produces about one third of all global goods, more than the U.S., Germany, Japan, and South Korea combined, yet profit margins are only about 4.5%, less than half U.S. levels. 4
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alooola® is an SEC Registered Investment Adviser. Material presented is for informational purposes only, and is not meant to be advice to any individual. Talk with alooola® to see how this information may apply to you. Consider your current financial situation, tolerance for risk, and investment objectives before you invest funds in securities through alooola®. For a more complete explanation of the alooola® service, please visit www.alooola.com. Information presented, including past performance of various sectors, vehicles, and indices is not to be construed as a forecast or guarantee of future results. Actual results, performance, or events may differ materially from those expressed or implied herein, and all investments are subject to risk, including loss of principal.
Sources:
Barron’s – “What the Iran War Really Means for the Stock Market”
A Wealth of Common Sense – “Geopolitics vs. Markets”
Bloomberg – “China’s AI Nightmare Is an Out-of-Control Welfare State”
MFS – “Beyond the News”
*Past performance is not indicative of future performance
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